How does science allow us to look at the future climate?

 

How does science allow us to look at the future climate?

To be able to adapt to climate change, it is essential to understand how the climate works and how it will evolve in the future. But how do scientists anticipate the climate of the coming years? Learn the basics of climate modeling and other answers in this video.

References

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  • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (2022). Summary for Policymakers.  Contribution of Working Group II to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press. DOI:10.1017/9781009325844.001

  • IPCC. (2021). Future Global Climate: Scenario-based Projections and Near-term Information. In: Climate Change 2021 – The Physical Science Basis: Working Group I Contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press; 2023:553-672.  doi: 10.1017/9781009157896.006.

  • IPCC. (2021).  Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 2391 pp. doi:10.1017/9781009157896

  • Lynas, M., Houlton, B.Z., Perry, S. (2021) Greater than 99% consensus on human caused climate change in the peer-reviewed scientific literature, Environmental Research Letters, 16(11): 11405. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac2966

  • Ouranos (2015). Vers l’adaptation. Synthèse des connaissances sur les changements climatiques au Québec. Édition 2015. Montréal, Québec : Ouranos. 415 p.

  • Riahi, K., van Vuuren, D. P., Kriegler, E., Edmonds, J., O’Neill, B.C., Fujimori, S., Bauer, N., Calvin, K., Dellink, R., Fricko, O., Lutz, W., Popp, A., Cuaresma, J.C., KC, S., Leimbach, M., Jiang, L., Kram, T., Rao, S., Emmerling, J., … Tavoni, M. (2017) The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview, Global Environmental Change, vol. 42, 153-168, doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009.

  • United Nations Environment Programme. (2021). Shared socioeconomic pathways. In Making Peace with Nature: A scientific blueprint to tackle the climate, biodiversity and pollution emergencies. Nairobi. ISBN: 978-92-807-3837-7. https://www.unep.org/resources/making-peace-nature   

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